Prognosis in traumatic brain injury

Introduction: The general purpose of this thesis was to study prognosis in traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients, with the aim of providing useful and practical information in clinical practice and clinical research. The specific objectives were: to develop and validate practical prognostic models for TBI patients and to assess the validity of the Modified Oxford Handicap Scale (mOHS) for predicting disability at six months. Methods: A survey was first conducted to understand the importance of prognostic information among physicians. A systematic review of prognostic models for TBI patients was then carried out. Prognostic models were developed using data from a cohort of 10,008 TBI patients (CRASH trial) and validated in a cohort of 8,509 TBI patients (IMPACT study). Two focus groups and a survey were conducted to develop a paper-based prognostic score card. The correlation between the mOHS and the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) was assessed, the validity of different mOHS dichotomies was assessed, and the discriminative ability of the mOHS to predict GOS was evaluated. Results: Doctors considered prognostic information to be very important in the clinical management of TBI patients, and believed that an accurate prognostic model would change their current clinical practice. Many prognostic models for TBI have been published, but they have many methodological flaws which limit their validity. Valid prognostic models for patients from high income countries and low & middle income .countries were developed and made available as a web calculator, and as a paper based score card. The mOHS was strongly correlated with and was predictive of GOS at six months. Conclusion: The prognostic models developed are valid and practical to use in the clinical setting. The association between mOHS and GOS suggest that the mOHS could be used for interim analysis in randomised clinical trials in TBI patients, for dealing with loss to follow-up, or could be used as simple tool to inform patients and relatives about their prognosis at hospital discharg

Estimación del costo económico en Argentina de la mortalidad atribuible al tabaco en adultos.

Existe amplia evidencia científica que vincula al tabaquismo con la mortalidad. Para estimar el costo de la mortalidad anual atribuible al tabaco (MAT) para adultos en Argentina se utilizaron datos de prevalencia de consumo de fumadores y ex fumadores (SEDRONAR), riesgos relativos de muerte por las patologías relevantes (Cancer Prevention Study II), muertes por dichas enfermedades y el valor de la consecuente productividad perdida. Se concluye que en el 2000, se produjeron 39.131 MAT en Argentina en los mayores de 35 años (16% de las de ese grupo). El costo anual medido como pérdida de ingresos futuros por mortalidad prematura fue de 469 millones de pesos, implicando esto $14 por habitante y 0,17% del PBI del año 2000. También se encontraron diferencias debidas a cada causa de mortalidad por sexo y edad.Epidemiología, Tabaco, Mortalidad, Valuación

Three Steps to Improve Management of Noncommunicable Diseases in Humanitarian Crises.

Kiran Jobanputra and colleagues argue that better evidence, guidance, and tools are needed to improve the effectiveness and feasibility of noncommunicable disease care in humanitarian settings

Mobile phone-based interventions for improving adherence to medication prescribed for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease in adults.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major cause of disability and mortality globally. Premature fatal and non-fatal CVD is considered to be largely preventable through the control of risk factors via lifestyle modifications and preventive medication. Lipid-lowering and antihypertensive drug therapies for primary prevention are cost-effective in reducing CVD morbidity and mortality among high-risk people and are recommended by international guidelines. However, adherence to medication prescribed for the prevention of CVD can be poor. Approximately 9% of CVD cases in the EU are attributed to poor adherence to vascular medications. Low-cost, scalable interventions to improve adherence to medications for the primary prevention of CVD have potential to reduce morbidity, mortality and healthcare costs associated with CVD. OBJECTIVES: To establish the effectiveness of interventions delivered by mobile phone to improve adherence to medication prescribed for the primary prevention of CVD in adults. SEARCH METHODS: We searched CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, and two other databases on 21 June 2017 and two clinical trial registries on 14 July 2017. We searched reference lists of relevant papers. We applied no language or date restrictions. SELECTION CRITERIA: We included randomised controlled trials investigating interventions delivered wholly or partly by mobile phones to improve adherence to cardiovascular medications prescribed for the primary prevention of CVD. We only included trials with a minimum of one-year follow-up in order that the outcome measures related to longer-term, sustained medication adherence behaviours and outcomes. Eligible comparators were usual care or control groups receiving no mobile phone-delivered component of the intervention. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: We used standard methodological procedures recommended by Cochrane. We contacted study authors for disaggregated data when trials included a subset of eligible participants. MAIN RESULTS: We included four trials with 2429 randomised participants. Participants were recruited from community-based primary care or outpatient clinics in high-income (Canada, Spain) and upper- to middle-income countries (South Africa, China). The interventions received varied widely; one trial evaluated an intervention focused on blood pressure medication adherence delivered solely through short messaging service (SMS), and one intervention involved blood pressure monitoring combined with feedback delivered via smartphone. Two trials involved interventions which targeted a combination of lifestyle modifications, alongside CVD medication adherence, one of which was delivered through text messages, written information pamphlets and self-completion cards for participants, and the other through a multi-component intervention comprising of text messages, a computerised CVD risk evaluation and face-to-face counselling. Due to heterogeneity in the nature and delivery of the interventions, we did not conduct a meta-analysis, and therefore reported results narratively.We judged the body of evidence for the effect of mobile phone-based interventions on objective outcomes (blood pressure and cholesterol) of low quality due to all included trials being at high risk of bias, and inconsistency in outcome effects. Of two trials targeting medication adherence alongside other lifestyle modifications, one reported a small beneficial intervention effect in reducing low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (mean difference (MD) -9.2 mg/dL, 95% confidence interval (CI) -17.70 to -0.70; 304 participants), and the other found no benefit (MD 0.77 mg/dL, 95% CI -4.64 to 6.18; 589 participants). One trial (1372 participants) of a text messaging-based intervention targeting adherence showed a small reduction in systolic blood pressure (SBP) for the intervention arm which delivered information-only text messages (MD -2.2 mmHg, 95% CI -4.4 to -0.04), but uncertain evidence of benefit for the second intervention arm that provided additional interactivity (MD -1.6 mmHg, 95% CI -3.7 to 0.5). One study examined the effect of blood pressure monitoring combined with smartphone messaging, and reported moderate intervention benefits on SBP and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (SBP: MD -7.10 mmHg, 95% CI -11.61 to -2.59; DBP: -3.90 mmHg, 95% CI -6.45 to -1.35; 105 participants). There was mixed evidence from trials targeting medication adherence alongside lifestyle advice using multi-component interventions. One trial found large benefits for SBP and DBP (SBP: MD -12.45 mmHg, 95% CI -15.02 to -9.88; DBP: MD -12.23 mmHg, 95% CI -14.03 to -10.43; 589 participants), whereas the other trial demonstrated no beneficial effects on SBP or DBP (SBP: MD 0.83 mmHg, 95% CI -2.67 to 4.33; DBP: MD 1.64 mmHg, 95% CI -0.55 to 3.83; 304 participants).Two trials reported on adverse events and provided low-quality evidence that the interventions did not cause harm. One study provided low-quality evidence that there was no intervention effect on reported satisfaction with treatment.Two trials were conducted in high-income countries, and two in upper- to middle-income countries. The interventions evaluated employed between three and 16 behaviour change techniques according to coding using Michie's taxonomic method. Two trials evaluated interventions that involved potential users in their development. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: There is low-quality evidence relating to the effects of mobile phone-delivered interventions to increase adherence to medication prescribed for the primary prevention of CVD; some trials reported small benefits while others found no effect. There is low-quality evidence that these interventions do not result in harm. On the basis of this review, there is currently uncertainty around the effectiveness of these interventions. We identified six ongoing trials being conducted in a range of contexts including low-income settings with potential to generate more precise estimates of the effect of primary prevention medication adherence interventions delivered by mobile phone

Diagnostic accuracy of the Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) for undiagnosed T2DM in Peruvian population.

AIMS: To assess the diagnostic accuracy of the Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) for undiagnosed T2DM and to compare its performance with the Latin-American FINDRISC (LA-FINDRISC) and the Peruvian Risk Score. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A population-based study was conducted. T2DM and undiagnosed T2DM were defined using oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). Risk scores assessed were FINDRISC, LA-FINDRISC and Peruvian Risk Score. Diagnostic accuracy of risk scores was estimated using the c-statistic and the area under the ROC curve (aROC). A simplified version of FINDRISC was also derived. RESULTS: Data from 1609 individuals, mean age 48.2 (SD: 10.6), 810 (50.3%) women, were collected. A total of 176 (11.0%; 95%CI: 9.4%-12.5%) were classified as having T2DM, and 71 (4.7%; 95%CI: 3.7%-5.8%) were classified as having undiagnosed T2DM. Diagnostic accuracy of the FINDRISC (aROC=0.69), LA-FINDRISC (aROC=0.68), and Peruvian Risk Score (aROC=0.64) was similar (p=0.15). The simplified FINDRISC, with 4 variables, had a slightly better performance (aROC=0.71) than the other scores. CONCLUSION: The performance of FINDRISC, LA-FINDRISC and Peruvian Risk Score for undiagnosed T2DM was similar. A simplified FINDRISC can perform as well or better for undiagnosed T2DM. The FINDRISC may be useful to detect cases of undiagnosed T2DM in resource-constrained settings

Effect of tranexamic acid on surgical bleeding: systematic review and cumulative meta-analysis

Objective To assess the effect of tranexamic acid on blood transfusion, thromboembolic events, and mortality in surgical patients

Atrial fibrillation: the current epidemic.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia diagnosed in clinical practice. The consequences of AF have been clearly established in multiple large observational cohort studies and include increased stroke and systemic embolism rates if no oral anticoagulation is prescribed, with increased morbidity and mortality. With the worldwide aging of the population characterized by a large influx of "baby boomers" with or without risk factors for developing AF, an epidemic is forecasted within the next 10 to 20 years. Although not all studies support this evidence, it is clear that AF is on the rise and a significant amount of health resources are invested in detecting and managing AF. This review focuses on the worldwide burden of AF and reviews global health strategies focused on improving detection, prevention and risk stratification of AF, recently recommended by the World Heart Federation